Helios

Commodity Systems
Intelligence

Detecting abnormal repricing, persistence and market breadth across interconnected commodity systems.

Market State

Repricing

Energy complex

Market Breadth

4 / 5

80% abnormal

Largest Shock

7.25σ

Gasoline

Observation

Mar 02

First post-break session

Energy Basket

Commodity repricing

Strait of Hormuz · 02 Mar 2026
InstrumentPrice1D5DZ1Z5State

Brent

BZ=F

77.7400+7.01%+8.38%4.132.29Repricing

WTI

CL=F

71.2300+6.09%+7.16%3.241.76Repricing

Heating Oil

HO=F

2.9004+8.24%+7.97%4.421.95Repricing

Natural Gas

NG=F

2.9600+3.47%-0.84%0.87-0.07Normal

Gasoline

RB=F

2.3706+13.18%+17.54%7.254.29Severe Repricing

Relative Shock Intensity

Cross-contract displacement

BZ=FBrent
4.13σ
CL=FWTI
3.24σ
HO=FHeating Oil
4.42σ
NG=FNatural Gas
0.87σ
RB=FGasoline
7.25σ

Market Structure

80%

of the observed energy basket crossed the Helios repricing threshold.

Negative control

Natural Gas

NG=F

Normal

The detector does not classify every energy instrument as abnormal simply because the wider petroleum complex is repricing.

Repricing Persistence

Market evolution

DateBreadthStateMax shock
Mar 024 / 5Repricing7.25σ
Mar 034 / 5Repricing5.36σ
Mar 044 / 5Repricing5.68σ
Mar 054 / 5Severe7.79σ
Mar 064 / 5Severe7.54σ
System RuntimeAegisMeridian